2026 Georgia Tech vs 2026 Virginia Tech
Hypothetical
50% to win
High confidence — 4 games in — see our accuracy
Hypothetical forecast · SBR sbr-2r
Why this number
How they're built
0–100 percentile · higher is stronger
Compare the whole profile, then explore each dimension.
- 2026 Georgia Tech Offense · SP+ 2026: 27.9, 55th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Virginia Tech Offense · SP+ 2026: 32.0, 73rd percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Defense · SP+ 2026: 26.7, 42nd percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Virginia Tech Defense · SP+ 2026: 22.4, 68th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Special teams · SP+ 2026: 0.1, 50th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Virginia Tech Special teams · SP+ 2026: −0.1, 28th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Recruiting · 2026 signing class: 216.7 pts, 71st percentile (2026 signing class)
- 2026 Virginia Tech Recruiting · 2026 signing class: 226.2 pts, 79th percentile (2026 signing class)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Experience · returning production 2026: 13% returning, 13th percentile (2026 roster)
- 2026 Virginia Tech Experience · returning production 2026: 37% returning, 44th percentile (2026 roster)
Offensive production relative to that season’s field. Compare an offense with the opposing defense in the scouting report.
Recruiting and experience add context; the five axes aren't equal weights in the forecast.
The numbers behind the profiles
| Measure | 2026 Georgia Tech | 2026 Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive / play | 0.1753rd percentile | 0.2169th percentile |
| PPA allowed / play | 0.1815th percentile | 0.0166th percentile |
| Points per game | 27.240th percentile5 games | 37.782nd percentile6 games |
| per game | 25.834th percentile5 games | 20.767th percentile6 games |
Programs don't stand still
SP+ percentile among FBS teams, by season. The marked point is each compared season.
Momentum
Talent in, results out
Recruiting-class percentile feeding each roster, compared with its SP+ result.
- Average signing-class percentile, classes 2023–2026
- 71st percentile
- SP+ percentile, 2026
- 54th percentile
- Average signing-class percentile, classes 2023–2026
- 72nd percentile
- SP+ percentile, 2026
- 72nd percentile
Campus distance
325 miles apart
There's more to the matchup.
Supporting context, ready when you want it.
In the trenches · both directions
| Matchup | O-line | D-line |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Georgia Tech OL vs 2026 Virginia Tech DL | 313.2 lbs | 273.0 lbs |
| 2026 Virginia Tech OL vs 2026 Georgia Tech DL | 320.6 lbs | 280.6 lbs |
2026 Georgia Tech line yards 2.95 · 2026 Virginia Tech stuff rate 36.6%
2026 Virginia Tech line yards 2.81 · 2026 Georgia Tech stuff rate 16.2%
Fans swear big lines win games. They're half right — big-line teams do win more, but only because good programs recruit big linemen. Once we account for talent and last season, line size adds nothing to the prediction. Across 11 seasons, no measurable effect on margin.
Roster size is context. It isn't a forecast advantage.
Backtested effect: 0.42 pts at 1σ.
Head-to-head · Virginia Tech leads 12–8 since 2000
Georgia Tech has won 1 straight
| Season | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Tech 35–20 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2024 | Georgia Tech 6–21 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech 28–27 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2021 | Georgia Tech 17–26 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2019 | Georgia Tech 0–45 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2018 | Georgia Tech 49–28 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2017 | Georgia Tech 28–22 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2016 | Georgia Tech 30–20 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2015 | Georgia Tech 21–23 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2014 | Georgia Tech 27–24 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2013 | Georgia Tech 10–17 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2012 | Georgia Tech 17–20 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2011 | Georgia Tech 26–37 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2010 | Georgia Tech 21–28 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2009 | Georgia Tech 28–23 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2008 | Georgia Tech 17–20 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2007 | Georgia Tech 3–27 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2006 | Georgia Tech 38–27 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2005 | Georgia Tech 7–51 Virginia Tech | Lane Stadium · Virginia Tech home |
| 2004 | Georgia Tech 20–34 Virginia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
Coaching & program context
HC
- Brent Key
OC
- Chris Weinke (co-OC)
- George Godsey
career average +31.0 SP+ offense
Scheme: Pro spread (listed on Wikipedia)
Style: Pass-heavy, grind-it-out (threw on 49% of its run–pass plays, 73rd percentile of 2026 FBS; 63.4 plays a game, 21st percentile)
DC
- Jason Semore
career average +30.4 SP+ defense
Scheme: Multiple 4–2–5 (listed on Wikipedia)
HC
- James Franklin (First season as Virginia Tech's head coach)
OC
- Ty Howle
career average +36.3 SP+ offense
Scheme: Pro spread (listed on Wikipedia)
Style: Pass-heavy, up-tempo (threw on 50% of its run–pass plays, 76th percentile of 2026 FBS; 76.0 plays a game, 95th percentile)
DC
- Brent Pry
no career track record on file
Scheme: 4–3 (listed on Wikipedia)
A new coordinator feels like it should swing a game. Across 11 seasons, the change doesn't move the final margin beyond what the roster already tells us. Shown as context, not a factor in our number.
Run-heavy team meets a defense that can't stop the run — feels like extra points waiting. Across 7 seasons the matchup adds nothing beyond what the two ratings already say; if anything the point estimate leans the other way.
Watching the next one?
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech · October 17, 2026
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