2026 Colorado vs 2026 Georgia Tech
Hypothetical
63% to win
High confidence — 4 games in — see our accuracy
Hypothetical forecast · SBR sbr-2r
Why this number
How they're built
0–100 percentile · higher is stronger
Compare the whole profile, then explore each dimension.
- 2026 Colorado Offense · SP+ 2026: 21.4, 26th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Offense · SP+ 2026: 27.9, 55th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Colorado Defense · SP+ 2026: 23.3, 65th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Defense · SP+ 2026: 26.7, 42nd percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Colorado Special teams · SP+ 2026: −0.4, 3rd percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Special teams · SP+ 2026: 0.1, 50th percentile (2026 season to date)
- 2026 Colorado Recruiting · 2026 signing class: 193.4 pts, 52nd percentile (2026 signing class)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Recruiting · 2026 signing class: 216.7 pts, 71st percentile (2026 signing class)
- 2026 Colorado Experience · returning production 2026: 14% returning, 16th percentile (2026 roster)
- 2026 Georgia Tech Experience · returning production 2026: 13% returning, 13th percentile (2026 roster)
Offensive production relative to that season’s field. Compare an offense with the opposing defense in the scouting report.
Recruiting and experience add context; the five axes aren't equal weights in the forecast.
The numbers behind the profiles
| Measure | 2026 Colorado | 2026 Georgia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive / play | −0.019th percentile | 0.1753rd percentile |
| PPA allowed / play | −0.0274th percentile | 0.1815th percentile |
| Points per game | 18.612th percentile5 games | 27.240th percentile5 games |
| per game | 25.439th percentile5 games | 25.834th percentile5 games |
Programs don't stand still
SP+ percentile among FBS teams, by season. The marked point is each compared season.
Momentum
Talent in, results out
Recruiting-class percentile feeding each roster, compared with its SP+ result.
- Average signing-class percentile, classes 2023–2026
- 61st percentile
- SP+ percentile, 2026
- 38th percentile
- Average signing-class percentile, classes 2023–2026
- 71st percentile
- SP+ percentile, 2026
- 54th percentile
Campus distance
1230 miles apart
There's more to the matchup.
Supporting context, ready when you want it.
In the trenches · both directions
| Matchup | O-line | D-line |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Colorado OL vs 2026 Georgia Tech DL | 311.2 lbs | 280.6 lbs |
| 2026 Georgia Tech OL vs 2026 Colorado DL | 313.2 lbs | 270.0 lbs |
2026 Colorado line yards 2.96 · 2026 Georgia Tech stuff rate 16.2%
2026 Georgia Tech line yards 2.95 · 2026 Colorado stuff rate 31.2%
Fans swear big lines win games. They're half right — big-line teams do win more, but only because good programs recruit big linemen. Once we account for talent and last season, line size adds nothing to the prediction. Across 11 seasons, no measurable effect on margin.
Roster size is context. It isn't a forecast advantage.
Backtested effect: 0.42 pts at 1σ.
Head-to-head · series tied 1–1 since 2000
Colorado has won 1 straight
| Season | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Colorado 14–13 Georgia Tech | Bobby Dodd Stadium · Georgia Tech home |
| 2025 | Colorado 20–27 Georgia Tech | Folsom Field · Colorado home |
Coaching & program context
HC
- Deion Sanders
OC
- Brennan Marion
career average +32.4 SP+ offense
Scheme: Go-Go (listed on Wikipedia)
Style: Pass-heavy, up-tempo (threw on 49% of its run–pass plays, 69th percentile of 2026 FBS; 75.0 plays a game, 93rd percentile)
DC
- Chris Marve
career average +22.8 SP+ defense
Scheme: 4–3 (listed on Wikipedia)
HC
- Brent Key
OC
- Chris Weinke (co-OC)
- George Godsey
career average +31.0 SP+ offense
Scheme: Pro spread (listed on Wikipedia)
Style: Pass-heavy, grind-it-out (threw on 49% of its run–pass plays, 73rd percentile of 2026 FBS; 63.4 plays a game, 21st percentile)
DC
- Jason Semore
career average +30.4 SP+ defense
Scheme: Multiple 4–2–5 (listed on Wikipedia)
A new coordinator feels like it should swing a game. Across 11 seasons, the change doesn't move the final margin beyond what the roster already tells us. Shown as context, not a factor in our number.
Run-heavy team meets a defense that can't stop the run — feels like extra points waiting. Across 7 seasons the matchup adds nothing beyond what the two ratings already say; if anything the point estimate leans the other way.
Scouting reports
No upcoming game between these teams is on the schedule.
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