Saturday, October 17

Temple

2–4

Charlotte

0–6

1:00 PM ETLincoln Financial FieldPhiladelphia, PA

Weather

Partly cloudy52°FNW 15 mphGusts 31 mphPrecip 6%

At kickoff · 1:00 PM ET · Updated 2:21 PM ET · National Weather Service

Hour by hour

Philadelphia · local time (ET)

Kickoff hour

Partly cloudy52°FNW 15 mphGusts 31 mphPrecip 6%

Weather is not an input to the SBR forecast.

Evidence sections show 2025 background.

Game forecast

92%

Temple win probability

Charlotte 8%

Temple by 19.2

Projected margin

Margin uncertainty ±13.9 points

Published forecast · SBR sbr-2r · Model track record

The game in a minute

01 · Temple's case

Temple's offense leads its matchup in

Temple's offense was in the 54th percentile for success rate last season. Charlotte's defense was in the 0th percentile for success rate allowed.

See the underlying numbers

02 · Charlotte's answer

Charlotte has no clear answer on this matchup

None of its defense's numbers stood out against Temple's offense last season.

03 · What could swing it

Charlotte is winless so far

Charlotte's record this season is 0–6.

See the records

When each team has the ball

Offensive efficiency meets defensive efficiency. Percentiles run from 0 to 100.

When Temple has the ball

Temple offense: 56th
Charlotte defense: 15th

Show the underlying numbers

Temple offensive per play: 0.1856th percentile · #55 nationally
Charlotte PPA allowed per play: 0.2315th percentile · #115 nationally
Temple success rate: 43%54th percentile · #63 nationally
Charlotte success rate allowed: 52%0th percentile · #136 nationally
Temple points per game: 27.852nd percentile · #66 nationally
Charlotte per game: 36.33rd percentile · #131 nationally

PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2025 full season, garbage time included. Points per game: every 2025 game. Percentiles and ranks are among 2025 teams.

Temple offense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness: 1.14
Rush success: 42.8%

Charlotte defense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness allowed: 1.07
Rush success allowed: 58.1%

When Charlotte has the ball

Charlotte offense: 1st
Temple defense: 6th

Show the underlying numbers

Charlotte offensive PPA per play: −0.011st percentile · #134 nationally
Temple PPA allowed per play: 0.266th percentile · #125 nationally
Charlotte success rate: 35%5th percentile · #129 nationally
Temple success rate allowed: 45%11th percentile · #121 nationally
Charlotte points per game: 14.32nd percentile · #133 nationally
Temple points allowed per game: 29.727th percentile · #100 nationally

PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2025 full season, garbage time included. Points per game: every 2025 game. Percentiles and ranks are among 2025 FBS teams.

Charlotte offense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness: 1.26
Rush success: 29.2%

Temple defense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness allowed: 1.27
Rush success allowed: 49.4%

Defense is oriented so a higher percentile is stronger.

Where they attack.

Follow the direction. Check the production.

Share of charted attemptsDirectional schematic

Offense moving upfield ↑

Select left, middle or right. The paths show direction only; alignment, routes and throw depth are schematic.

Evan Simon · 90% of charted pass attempts

Throwing right

Share of charted plays: 49%
Usage: charted in this direction: 153 attempts
Yards / attempt: 5.5; over 151 attempts with a result
Completion rate: 61%; over 151 attempts with a result

311 of 313 have a direction · 2 unknown, excluded · rounded

Charted 12 of 12 games

Efficiency charted in 12 of 12 games

Depth as written in the play-by-play: 273 short · 38 deep · 2 not stated

What to watch

Most charted attempts go right (49%). Middle gives the most yards per attempt: 10.5 over 46 attempts with a result.

Who's driving the offense?

The Temple offense in 2025

Evan Simon

QB · 12 games

190/314 · 61% season

Passing yards: 2,098
Touchdowns: 25
Interceptions: 2

Last game

North Texas · Nov 28, 2025: 10/27, 82 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

Jevyon Ducker

RB · 12 games

Carries: 157
Rushing yards: 809
Touchdowns: 7

Last game

North Texas · Nov 28, 2025: 12 carries, 63 yds, 1 TD

Colin Chase

WR · 12 games

Receptions: 40
Receiving yards: 414
Touchdowns: 4

Last game

North Texas · Nov 28, 2025: 3 rec, 55 yds, 0 TD

Temple player tables

Who is producing

Temple player production

2025 evidence · 12 games in this window · 12 with recorded rows in this view

Temple — Passing production
Player
Evan SimonQB	12	190 / 314	2,098	6.7	25	2
Gevani McCoyQB	8	24 / 33	256	7.8	2	0
Jevyon DuckerRB	1	1 / 1	16	16.0	1	0

3 players with recorded rows

Rows are recorded player-game box lines for the games listed above. A missing row is missing data, not proof that a player did not appear, and none of these figures describe targets, snaps, starters or availability.

Charlotte player tables

Who is producing

Charlotte player production

2025 evidence · 12 games in this window · 12 with recorded rows in this view

Charlotte — Passing production
Player
Grayson LoftisQB	11	128 / 232	1,415	6.1	8	8
Conner HarrellQB	4	64 / 96	737	7.7	4	2
Zach WilckeQB	6	33 / 51	296	5.8	2	3

3 players with recorded rows

In the trenches

Temple's line averages 301.1 lbs against Charlotte's 260.5 lbs front — an edge of 40.6 lbs a man.

Typical FBS gap: 31.7 lbs.

Roster size is context. It isn't a forecast advantage.

Matchup	O-line	D-line
Temple OLTemple OL vs Charlotte DL	301.1 lbs	260.5 lbs
Charlotte OLCharlotte OL vs Temple DL	302.8 lbs	273.1 lbs

Temple
Charlotte

Average listed roster weight, 2026 · bars run from 0 to 350 lbs.

How these teams stack up

2025 season. Percentiles and ranks are among 2025 FBS teams.

Temple

Points per game: 27.8#66 nationally · 52nd percentile · 12 games
Points allowed per game: 29.7#100 nationally · 27th percentile · 12 games
Returning production: 100% of 2024 PPA returns · 96th percentile
Upperclassmen: 45% · 116 of 116 with a class year

Charlotte

Points per game: 14.3#133 nationally · 2nd percentile · 12 games
Points allowed per game: 36.3#131 nationally · 3rd percentile · 12 games
Returning production: 24% of 2024 PPA returns · 20th percentile
Upperclassmen: 53% · 109 of 109 with a class year

Recruiting

Temple

2025 signing class · #123 nationally: 10th percentile · 102.0 pts
4-year recruiting composite (Saturday Bias) · classes 2022–2025 · #117 nationally: 14th percentile · −0.88 (0 is the FBS average)
Roster talent (CFBD Team Talent) · 2025 · #113 nationally: 16th percentile · 507.9

Charlotte

2025 signing class · #133 nationally: 2nd percentile · 38.6 pts
4-year recruiting composite (Saturday Bias) · classes 2022–2025 · #126 nationally: 7th percentile · −1.44 (0 is the FBS average)
Roster talent (CFBD Team Talent) · 2025 · #108 nationally: 20th percentile · 526.3

Recruited classes aren't the roster that takes the field.

Season percentile profiles

Season percentiles · outward is stronger · recruiting and experience are context, not forecast weights

Temple: solid line, circles · Charlotte: dashed line, squares

Temple

Offense · 2025: 27.1 · 50th percentile; CFBD, 2025 season to date
Defense · SP+ 2025: 33.2 · 20th percentile; CFBD, 2025 season to date
Special teams · SP+ 2025: 1.0 · 73rd percentile; CFBD, 2025 season to date
Recruiting · 2025 signing class: 102.0 pts · 10th percentile; CFBD, 2025 signing class
Experience · returning production 2025: 100% returning · 96th percentile; CFBD, 2025 roster

Charlotte

Offense · SP+ 2025: 14.5 · 3rd percentile; CFBD, 2025 season to date
Defense · SP+ 2025: 39.8 · 2nd percentile; CFBD, 2025 season to date
Special teams · SP+ 2025: −1.4 · 15th percentile; CFBD, 2025 season to date
Recruiting · 2025 signing class: 38.6 pts · 2nd percentile; CFBD, 2025 signing class
Experience · returning production 2025: 24% returning · 20th percentile; CFBD, 2025 roster

Temple's recent games

Most recent completed 2025 games · play stats exclude garbage time

Nov 28 · 56 recorded plays
at North Texas
L 25–52
43%
Success rate
0.11
PPA / play
Nov 22 · 50 recorded plays
vs Tulane
L 13–37
36%
Success rate
0.06
PPA / play
Nov 8 · 47 recorded plays
at Army
L 13–14
49%
Success rate
0.23
PPA / play

The coaching staff

Temple

Head coach: K.C. Keeler
career −8.6 SP+ overall
Offensive coordinator: Tyler Walker
career +27.1 SP+ offense
Photo: Eightlaces2020, CC BY-SA 4.0
Defensive coordinator: Brian Smith
career +34.4 SP+ defense

Charlotte

Head coach: Tim Albin
career −8.4 SP+ overall
Photo: APocketJoker, CC BY-SA 4.0
Offensive coordinator: Todd Fitch
career +24.7 SP+ offense
Defensive coordinator: Nate Faanes
career +31.8 SP+ defense

Head-to-head

Temple leads 3–0 since 2000

2025 · Temple 49, Charlotte 14
Jerry Richardson Stadium
2016 · Temple 48, Charlotte 20
Lincoln Financial Field
2015 · Temple 37, Charlotte 3
Jerry Richardson Stadium

Evidence and sources

Evidence window: 2025 full season

Temple: 12 games
Charlotte: 12 games

Forecast: 2026 game forecast · this game · Saturday Bias
Weather: 2026 game forecast · this game · NWS
The game in a minute: 2025 full season, garbage time included · compared with 2025 FBS teams · CFBD
When each team has the ball: 2025 full season, garbage time included · compared with 2025 FBS teams · CFBD
Where they attack: 2025 full season, garbage time included, regular season only · per team, not ranked · NCAA
Featured players: 2025 full season, garbage time included · per team, not ranked · CFBD
In the trenches: 2026 roster snapshot · compared with 2026 FBS teams · CFBD
Team profiles: 2025 season to date · compared with 2025 FBS teams · CFBD
Recent games: 2025 recent games, garbage time excluded · this game · CFBD
Coaching staff: 2026 coaching staff · per team, not ranked · CFBD (head coaches, SP+) and Wikipedia (coordinators)
Head-to-head: completed meetings since 2000 · games between these two programs · CFBD

Compare these teams

Game forecast

The game in a minute

Temple's offense leads its matchup in success rate

Charlotte has no clear answer on this matchup

Charlotte is winless so far

When each team has the ball

When Temple has the ball

Temple offense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Charlotte defense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

When Charlotte has the ball

Charlotte offense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Temple defense · 2025 season · Last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Where they attack.

Throwing right

Who's driving the offense?

Evan Simon

Jevyon Ducker

Colin Chase

Temple player production

Charlotte player production

In the trenches

How these teams stack up

Temple

Charlotte

Recruiting

Temple

Charlotte

Season percentile profiles

Temple

Charlotte

Temple's recent games

at North Texas

vs Tulane

at Army

The coaching staff

Temple

Charlotte

Head-to-head

Evidence and sources

Temple's offense leads its matchup in