Saturday, October 24
Compare these teams
3–3
vs
Tennessee
5–1 · AP #14
Time TBAWilliams-Brice StadiumColumbia, SC
Forecast available from Saturday, October 17.
Weather is not an input to the SBR forecast.
Our forecast for this game posts the Tuesday of game week.
01 · Tennessee's case
Tennessee's offense is in the 64th percentile for per play this season. South Carolina's defense is in the 28th percentile for PPA allowed.
See when each team has the ball02 · South Carolina's answer
None of its defense's numbers stands out against Tennessee's offense.
03 · What could swing it
There is no published forecast to cite for this game right now.
See the forecastOffensive efficiency meets defensive efficiency. Percentiles run from 0 to 100.
PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2026 season to date, garbage time included. Points per game: 2026 games so far. Percentiles and ranks are among 2026 teams.
PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2026 season to date, garbage time included. Points per game: 2026 games so far. Percentiles and ranks are among 2026 FBS teams.
Defense is oriented so a higher percentile is stronger.
Follow the direction. Check the production.
Offense moving upfield ↑
LaNorris Sellers · 90% of charted pass attempts
147 of 151 have a direction · 4 unknown, excluded · rounded
Charted 5 of 6 games
Efficiency charted in 5 of 6 games
Depth as written in the play-by-play: 125 short · 22 deep · 4 not stated
The South Carolina offense in 2026
QB · 6 games
Photo: ESPN
115/187 · 61% season
Last game
Florida · Oct 10, 2026: 23/35, 279 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
RB · 6 games
Photo: ESPN
Last game
Florida · Oct 10, 2026: 10 carries, 52 yds, 0 TD
WR · 6 games
Photo: ESPN
Last game
Florida · Oct 10, 2026: 7 rec, 35 yds, 1 TD
Who is producing
2026 evidence · 6 games in this window · 6 with recorded rows in this view
Sorted by Completions and attempts, highest first
| Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanorris SellersQB | 6 | 115 / 187 | 1,338 | 7.2 | 12 | 4 |
| Cutter WoodsQB | 3 | 9 / 14 | 92 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 |
| Lucian Anderson IIIQB | 1 | 2 / 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 |
3 players with recorded rows
Rows are recorded player-game box lines for the games listed above. A missing row is missing data, not proof that a player did not appear, and none of these figures describe targets, snaps, starters or availability.
Who is producing
2026 evidence · 6 games in this window · 6 with recorded rows in this view
Sorted by Completions and attempts, highest first
| Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faizon BrandonQB | 5 | 61 / 101 | 697 | 6.9 | 7 | 1 |
| George MacIntyreQB | 4 | 32 / 49 | 395 | 8.1 | 2 | 2 |
| Ryan StaubQB | 1 | 3 / 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 |
3 players with recorded rows
Rows are recorded player-game box lines for the games listed above. A missing row is missing data, not proof that a player did not appear, and none of these figures describe targets, snaps, starters or availability.
South Carolina's line averages 314.9 lbs against Tennessee's 272.1 lbs front — an edge of 42.8 lbs a man.
Typical FBS gap: 31.7 lbs.
Roster size is context. It isn't a forecast advantage.
| Matchup | O-line | D-line |
|---|---|---|
| South Carolina OLSouth Carolina OL vs Tennessee DL | 314.9 lbs | 272.1 lbs |
| Tennessee OLTennessee OL vs South Carolina DL | 317.9 lbs | 274.3 lbs |
Average listed roster weight, 2026 · bars run from 0 to 350 lbs.
2026 season. Percentiles and ranks are among 2026 FBS teams.
Recruited classes aren't the roster that takes the field.
Season percentiles · outward is stronger · recruiting and experience are context, not forecast weights
South Carolina: solid line, circles · Tennessee: dashed line, squares
Most recent completed 2026 games · play stats exclude garbage time
Oct 10 · 67 recorded plays
W 38–19
43%
Success rate
0.33
PPA / play
Oct 3 · 77 recorded plays
L 34–35
49%
Success rate
0.09
PPA / play
Sep 26 · 64 recorded plays
L 18–49
38%
Success rate
0.06
PPA / play
Kendal Briles
career +33.7 SP+ offense
Clayton White
career +24.0 SP+ defense
2023 · Tennessee 41, South Carolina 20
Neyland Stadium
2022 · South Carolina 63, Tennessee 38
Williams-Brice Stadium
2021 · Tennessee 45, South Carolina 20
Neyland Stadium
2020 · Tennessee 31, South Carolina 27
Williams-Brice Stadium
2019 · Tennessee 41, South Carolina 21
Neyland Stadium
2018 · South Carolina 27, Tennessee 24
Williams-Brice Stadium
2017 · South Carolina 15, Tennessee 9
Neyland Stadium
2016 · South Carolina 24, Tennessee 21
Williams-Brice Stadium
2015 · Tennessee 27, South Carolina 24
Neyland Stadium
2014 · Tennessee 45, South Carolina 42
Williams-Brice Stadium
2013 · Tennessee 23, South Carolina 21
Neyland Stadium
2012 · South Carolina 38, Tennessee 35
Williams-Brice Stadium
2011 · South Carolina 14, Tennessee 3
Neyland Stadium
2010 · South Carolina 38, Tennessee 24
Williams-Brice Stadium
2009 · Tennessee 31, South Carolina 13
Neyland Stadium
2008 · South Carolina 27, Tennessee 6
Williams-Brice Stadium
2007 · Tennessee 27, South Carolina 24
Neyland Stadium
2006 · Tennessee 31, South Carolina 24
Williams-Brice Stadium
2005 · South Carolina 16, Tennessee 15
Neyland Stadium
2004 · Tennessee 43, South Carolina 29
Williams-Brice Stadium
2003 · Tennessee 23, South Carolina 20
Neyland Stadium
2002 · Tennessee 18, South Carolina 10
Williams-Brice Stadium
2001 · Tennessee 17, South Carolina 10
Neyland Stadium
2000 · Tennessee 17, South Carolina 14
Evidence window: 2026 season to date