Saturday, October 17
Compare these teams
3–2
at
UL Monroe
0–5
8:00 PM ET7:00 PM CTMalone StadiumMonroe, LA
Clear71°FNE 7 mphGusts 16 mphPrecip 0%
At kickoff · 7:00 PM CT · Updated 12:15 PM CT · National Weather Service
Monroe · local time (CT)
Kickoff hour
Clear71°FNE 7 mphGusts 16 mphPrecip 0%
Weather is not an input to the SBR forecast.
85%
Louisiana Tech win probability
UL Monroe 15%
Louisiana Tech by 14.4
Projected margin
Margin uncertainty ±14.0 points
Published forecast · SBR sbr-2r · Model track record
01 · Louisiana Tech's case
Louisiana Tech's offense is in the 73rd percentile for points per game this season. UL Monroe's defense is in the 0th percentile for per game.
See the underlying numbers02 · UL Monroe's answer
None of its defense's numbers stands out against Louisiana Tech's offense.
03 · What could swing it
UL Monroe's record this season is 0–5.
See the recordsOffensive efficiency meets defensive efficiency. Percentiles run from 0 to 100.
PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2026 season to date, garbage time included. Points per game: 2026 games so far. Percentiles and ranks are among 2026 teams.
PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2026 season to date, garbage time included. Points per game: 2026 games so far. Percentiles and ranks are among 2026 FBS teams.
Defense is oriented so a higher percentile is stronger.
Follow the direction. Check the production.
Offense moving upfield ↑
Trey Kukuk · 40% of charted pass attempts
50 of 50 have a direction · 0 unknown, excluded · rounded
Charted 4 of 5 games
Efficiency charted in 4 of 5 games
Depth as written in the play-by-play: 44 short · 6 deep · 0 not stated
What to watch
Most charted attempts go right (46%). Middle gives the most yards per attempt: 6.8 over 12 attempts with a result.
The Louisiana Tech offense in 2026
QB · 4 games
48/73 · 66% season
Last game
Army · Oct 3, 2026: 16/22, 185 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
RB · 5 games
Photo: ESPN
Last game
Louisiana · Oct 10, 2026: 14 carries, 85 yds, 0 TD
WR · 5 games
Photo: ESPN
Last game
Louisiana · Oct 10, 2026: 9 rec, 92 yds, 1 TD
Who is producing
2026 evidence · 5 games in this window · 5 with recorded rows in this view
Sorted by Completions and attempts, highest first
| Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake BakerQB | 4 | 53 / 78 | 679 | 8.7 | 7 | 1 |
| Trey KukukQB | 4 | 48 / 73 | 468 | 6.4 | 3 | 1 |
| Jackson BradleyQB | 1 | 2 / 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylone BrooksRB | 1 | 1 / 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh BrantleyTE | 1 | 1 / 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Marcus Calwise Jr.WR | 1 | 1 / 1 | 74 | 74.0 | 1 | 0 |
6 players with recorded rows
Rows are recorded player-game box lines for the games listed above. A missing row is missing data, not proof that a player did not appear, and none of these figures describe targets, snaps, starters or availability.
Who is producing
2026 evidence · 5 games in this window · 5 with recorded rows in this view
Sorted by Completions and attempts, highest first
| Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan ArmentaQB | 4 | 68 / 107 | 848 | 7.9 | 5 | 1 |
| Austin CarlisleQB | 3 | 35 / 53 | 312 | 5.9 | 3 | 3 |
| Landon GravesQB | 2 | 0 / 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
3 players with recorded rows
Rows are recorded player-game box lines for the games listed above. A missing row is missing data, not proof that a player did not appear, and none of these figures describe targets, snaps, starters or availability.
Louisiana Tech's line averages 298.6 lbs against UL Monroe's 273.7 lbs front — an edge of 24.9 lbs a man.
Typical FBS gap: 31.7 lbs.
Roster size is context. It isn't a forecast advantage.
| Matchup | O-line | D-line |
|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech OLLouisiana Tech OL vs UL Monroe DL | 298.6 lbs | 273.7 lbs |
| UL Monroe OLUL Monroe OL vs Louisiana Tech DL | 301.9 lbs | 267.4 lbs |
Average listed roster weight, 2026 · bars run from 0 to 350 lbs.
2026 season. Percentiles and ranks are among 2026 FBS teams.
Recruited classes aren't the roster that takes the field.
Season percentiles · outward is stronger · recruiting and experience are context, not forecast weights
Louisiana Tech: solid line, circles · UL Monroe: dashed line, squares
Most recent completed 2026 games · play stats exclude garbage time
Oct 10 · 80 recorded plays
W 32–31
51%
Success rate
0.21
PPA / play
Oct 3 · 58 recorded plays
W 31–29
48%
Success rate
0.34
PPA / play
Sep 19 · 77 recorded plays
L 19–36
38%
Success rate
0.01
PPA / play
Nathan Young
career +15.9 SP+ offense
Luke Olson
career +31.3 SP+ defense
Bryant Vincent
career −12.9 SP+ overall
2000 · Louisiana Tech 42, UL Monroe 19
Evidence window: 2026 season to date