Saturday, October 17

Compare these teams

Texas A&M

3–3

vs

The Citadel

1–0

1:00 PM ET12:00 PM CTKyle FieldCollege Station, TX

Weather

Partly cloudy72°FN 14 mphGusts 23 mphPrecip 2%

At kickoff · 12:00 PM CT · Updated 1:21 PM CT · National Weather Service

Hour by hour

College Station · local time (CT)

Hour of the game (CT)

Kickoff hour

Partly cloudy72°FN 14 mphGusts 23 mphPrecip 2%

Weather is not an input to the SBR forecast.

The Citadel is not an program in 2026. Its side of each section shows a gap, and this game has no forecast.

Evidence sections show 2025 background.

Game forecast

We don't forecast games against FCS opponents.

The game in a minute

01 · Texas A&M's case

No matchup to cite

There are not enough rated offense and defense numbers last season to compare Texas A&M and The Citadel.

See when each team has the ball

02 · What could swing it

The Citadel is not an FBS program this season

We rate and forecast FBS programs only, so this game has no forecast and fewer comparisons.

See the game notice

Not enough evidence yet

When each team has the ball

Offensive efficiency meets defensive efficiency. Percentiles run from 0 to 100.

When Texas A&M has the ball

Texas A&M offense
78th
The Citadel defense
Not rated
Show the underlying numbers
Texas A&M offensive per play
0.2378th percentile · #29 nationally
The Citadel PPA allowed per play
Not rated
Texas A&M
46%77th percentile · #32 nationally
The Citadel success rate allowed
Not rated
Texas A&M points per game
33.887th percentile · #19 nationally
The Citadel per game
Not rated

PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2025 full season, garbage time included. Points per game: every 2025 game. Percentiles and ranks are among 2025 FBS teams.

Texas A&M offense · 2025 season · 7 of the last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness
1.27
Rush success
48.6%

The Citadel defense · 2025 season · Last 1 game · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness allowed
1.25
Rush success allowed
64.3%

When The Citadel has the ball

The Citadel offense
Not rated
Texas A&M defense
59th
Show the underlying numbers
The Citadel offensive PPA per play
Not rated
Texas A&M PPA allowed per play
0.1259th percentile · #54 nationally
The Citadel success rate
Not rated
Texas A&M success rate allowed
34%97th percentile · #5 nationally
The Citadel points per game
Not rated
Texas A&M points allowed per game
21.074th percentile · #36 nationally

PPA and success rate: CFBD, 2025 full season, garbage time included. Points per game: every 2025 game. Percentiles and ranks are among 2025 FBS teams.

The Citadel offense · 2025 season · No game stats from the last game · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness
not available
Rush success
not available

Texas A&M defense · 2025 season · 6 of the last 8 games · garbage time excluded

Explosiveness allowed
1.58
Rush success allowed
41.5%

Defense is oriented so a higher percentile is stronger.

Where they attack.

Follow the direction. Check the production.

Offense on the field
Play type
Field measure
Share of charted attemptsDirectional schematic
Direction, from the offense's perspective

Offense moving upfield ↑

Select left, middle or right. The paths show direction only; alignment, routes and throw depth are schematic.

Marcel Reed · 92% of charted pass attempts

Throwing left

Share of charted plays
39%
Usage: charted in this direction
127 attempts
Yards / attempt
8.2
over 127 attempts with a result
Completion rate
65%
over 127 attempts with a result

328 of 338 have a direction · 10 unknown, excluded · rounded

Charted 12 of 12 games

Efficiency charted in 12 of 12 games

Depth as written in the play-by-play: 289 short · 39 deep · 10 not stated

Who's driving the offense?

The Texas A&M offense in 2025

Featured players for

Marcel Reed

QB · 13 games

234/377 · 62% season

Passing yards
3,169
Touchdowns
25
Interceptions
12

Last game

Miami · Dec 20, 2025: 25/39, 237 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

Rueben Owens

RB · 12 games

Carries
119
Rushing yards
639
Touchdowns
5

Last game

Miami · Dec 20, 2025: 7 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD

Kevin Concepcion

WR · 13 games

Receptions
61
Receiving yards
919
Touchdowns
9

Last game

Miami · Dec 20, 2025: 4 rec, 33 yds, 0 TD

Texas A&M player tables

Who is producing

Texas A&M player production

2025 evidence · 13 games in this window · 13 with recorded rows in this view

Statistic category

Sorted by Completions and attempts, highest first

Texas A&M — Passing production
Player
Marcel ReedQB13234 / 3773,1698.42512
Miles O'NeillQB37 / 141208.612
Brady HartQB25 / 10626.200
Jacob ZenoQB12 / 5275.400
Tyler WhiteP10 / 100.000

5 players with recorded rows

Rows are recorded player-game box lines for the games listed above. A missing row is missing data, not proof that a player did not appear, and none of these figures describe targets, snaps, starters or availability.

The Citadel player tables

Who is producing

The Citadel player production

2025 evidence · 1 games in this window · 0 with recorded rows in this view

Statistic category

No player rows in this evidence window report this category.

In the trenches

No roster weights on file

How these teams stack up

2025 season. Percentiles and ranks are among 2025 FBS teams.

Texas A&M

Points per game
33.8#19 nationally · 87th percentile · 13 games
Points allowed per game
21.0#36 nationally · 74th percentile · 13 games
Returning production
75% of 2024 PPA returns · 79th percentile
Upperclassmen
44% · 133 of 133 with a class year

The Citadel

not rated

Recruiting

Texas A&M

2025 signing class · #9 nationally
94th percentile · 282.4 pts
4-year recruiting composite (Saturday Bias) · classes 2022–2025 · #9 nationally
94th percentile · 1.58 (0 is the FBS average)
Roster talent (CFBD Team Talent) · 2025 · #8 nationally
95th percentile · 917.3

The Citadel

not rated

Recruited classes aren't the roster that takes the field.

Season percentile profiles

Offense · SP+ 2025Defense · SP+ 2025Special teams · SP+ 2025Recruiting · 2025 signing classExperience · returning production 2025Texas A&M Offense · SP+ 2025: 38.0, 93rd percentile (CFBD, 2025 season to date)Texas A&M Defense · SP+ 2025: 16.4, 90th percentile (CFBD, 2025 season to date)Texas A&M Special teams · SP+ 2025: −1.0, 28th percentile (CFBD, 2025 season to date)Texas A&M Recruiting · 2025 signing class: 282.4 pts, 94th percentile (CFBD, 2025 signing class)Texas A&M Experience · returning production 2025: 75% returning, 79th percentile (CFBD, 2025 roster)0100
  • Texas A&M Offense · SP+ 2025: 38.0, 93rd percentile (CFBD, 2025 season to date)
  • The Citadel Offense · SP+ 2025: not rated (CFBD, 2025 season to date)
  • Texas A&M Defense · SP+ 2025: 16.4, 90th percentile (CFBD, 2025 season to date)
  • The Citadel Defense · SP+ 2025: not rated (CFBD, 2025 season to date)
  • Texas A&M Special teams · SP+ 2025: −1.0, 28th percentile (CFBD, 2025 season to date)
  • The Citadel Special teams · SP+ 2025: not rated (CFBD, 2025 season to date)
  • Texas A&M Recruiting · 2025 signing class: 282.4 pts, 94th percentile (CFBD, 2025 signing class)
  • The Citadel Recruiting · 2025 signing class: not rated (CFBD, 2025 signing class)
  • Texas A&M Experience · returning production 2025: 75% returning, 79th percentile (CFBD, 2025 roster)
  • The Citadel Experience · returning production 2025: not rated (CFBD, 2025 roster)

Season percentiles · outward is stronger · recruiting and experience are context, not forecast weights

Texas A&M: solid line, circles

Texas A&M

Offense · 2025
38.0 · 93rd percentile
CFBD, 2025 season to date
Defense · SP+ 2025
16.4 · 90th percentile
CFBD, 2025 season to date
Special teams · SP+ 2025
−1.0 · 28th percentile
CFBD, 2025 season to date
Recruiting · 2025 signing class
282.4 pts · 94th percentile
CFBD, 2025 signing class
Experience · returning production 2025
75% returning · 79th percentile
CFBD, 2025 roster

The Citadel

not rated

Texas A&M's recent games

Most recent completed 2025 games · play stats exclude garbage time

  1. Dec 20

    vs Miami

    L 3–10

    Play stats pending

  2. Nov 28 · 66 recorded plays

    at Texas

    L 17–27

    38%

    Success rate

    0.08

    PPA / play

  3. Nov 22 · 48 recorded plays

    vs Samford

    vs FCS

    W 48–0

    46%

    Success rate

    0.35

    PPA / play

The coaching staff

Texas A&M

Head coach
Mike Elko

Mike Elko

career +13.0 SP+ overall

Photo: Thisthingiswack, CC0

Offensive coordinator

Holmon Wiggins

career +36.0 SP+ offense

Defensive coordinator
Elijah Robinson

Elijah Robinson

Co-defensive coordinator · career +26.1 SP+ defense

Photo: Kiran891, CC BY-SA 4.0

Lyle Hemphill

career +26.1 SP+ defense

The Citadel

Head coach
Not on file
Offensive coordinator
Not on file
Defensive coordinator
Not on file

Head-to-head

Texas A&M leads 1–0 since 2000
  1. 2006 · Texas A&M 35, The Citadel 3

    Kyle Field

Evidence and sources

Evidence window: 2025 full season

  • Texas A&M: 13 games
  • The Citadel: 1 game
  • Weather: 2026 game forecast · this game · NWS
  • The game in a minute: 2025 full season · per team, not ranked · CFBD
  • When each team has the ball: 2025 full season, garbage time included · compared with 2025 FBS teams · CFBD
  • Where they attack: 2025 full season, garbage time included, regular season only · per team, not ranked · NCAA
  • Featured players: 2025 full season, garbage time included · per team, not ranked · CFBD
  • In the trenches: 2026 roster snapshot · compared with 2026 FBS teams · CFBD
  • Team profiles: 2025 season to date · compared with 2025 FBS teams · CFBD
  • Recent games: 2025 recent games, garbage time excluded · this game · CFBD
  • Coaching staff: 2026 coaching staff · per team, not ranked · CFBD (head coaches, SP+) and Wikipedia (coordinators)
  • Head-to-head: completed meetings since 2000 · games between these two programs · CFBD
Compare these teams