2026 Stanford vs 2026 Elon

Hypothetical

No prediction

At StanfordNeutral FieldAt Elon

We don't rate 2026 teams yet

How they're built

0–100 percentile · higher is stronger

Compare the whole profile, then explore each dimension.

2026 Elon Recruiting · 2026 signing class: not on file
2026 Elon: not an team that season
2026 Elon: fewer than three dimensions, so no shape is drawn

Offensive production relative to that season’s FBS field. Compare an offense with the opposing defense in the scouting report.

Recruiting and experience add context; the five axes aren't equal weights in the forecast.

The numbers behind the profiles

Measure	2026 Stanford	2026 Elon
Offensive / play	0.0318th percentile	—not an FBS team that season
PPA allowed / play	0.370th percentile	—not an FBS team that season
Points per game	15.73rd percentile6 games	—not an FBS team that season
per game	41.51st percentile6 games	—not an FBS team that season

Programs don't stand still

SP+ percentile among FBS teams, by season. The marked point is each compared season.

2026 Stanford2026 Elon

Momentum

Stanford↘ falling (−13 pctl over 3 seasons)

ElonNot enough history entering 2026

Talent in, results out

Recruiting-class percentile feeding each roster, compared with its SP+ result.

2026 Stanford

Average signing-class percentile, classes 2023–2026: 69th percentile
SP+ percentile, 2026: 10th percentile

Underperforming its talent (−59)

2026 Elon

No SP+ result for 2026 yet, so there is nothing to weigh talent against.

Campus distance

No campus location on file for Elon.

There's more to the matchup.

Supporting context, ready when you want it.

In the trenches · both directions

Matchup	O-line	D-line
2026 Stanford OL vs 2026 Elon DL	303.9 lbs	—
2026 Elon OL vs 2026 Stanford DL	—	277.5 lbs

2026 Stanford line yards 2.64 · 2026 Elon stuff rate —

2026 Elon line yards — · 2026 Stanford stuff rate 15.0%

Fans swear big lines win games. They're half right — big-line teams do win more, but only because good programs recruit big linemen. Once we account for talent and last season, line size adds nothing to the prediction. Across 11 seasons, no measurable effect on margin.

Roster size is context. It isn't a forecast advantage.

Backtested effect: 0.42 pts at 1σ.

Head-to-head · no meetings since 2000

These programs haven't met since 2000.

Coaching & program context

2026 Stanford

Tavita Pritchard (First season as Stanford's head coach)

Terry Heffernan

no career track record on file

Scheme: Multiple (listed on Wikipedia)

Style: Pass-heavy, grind-it-out (threw on 54% of its run–pass plays, 91st percentile of 2026 FBS; 64.3 plays a game, 28th percentile)

Kris Richard

no career track record on file

Scheme: 4–3 (listed on Wikipedia)

2026 Elon

HC: no staff data on file

OC: no staff data on file

DC: no staff data on file

A new coordinator feels like it should swing a game. Across 11 seasons, the change doesn't move the final margin beyond what the roster already tells us. Shown as context, not a factor in our number.

Run-heavy team meets a defense that can't stop the run — feels like extra points waiting. Across 7 seasons the matchup adds nothing beyond what the two ratings already say; if anything the point estimate leans the other way.